Locks: Baseball is going to be a tough one to call this year. Lots of teams are on the verge of making a jump. A few are on the precipice of a significant drop. But most of these lines look pretty spot on, as us being in agreement on 20 of the 30 teams would indicate. That said, if you’re the betting sort, here’s our lock for the over as well as the under.

 Torsten:

Over: Atlanta Braves. Really? 87.5 wins? This team won 96 games last year with practically zero production from Dan Uggla and BJ Upton, and no Brandon Beachy or Johnny Venters for practically the entire year. They have pitching, one of the best young players in baseball in Freddie Freeman, and if any of the aforementioned guys has a better 2014 than 2013 (not a stretch), who is to say this team can’t win 95+ games again? For Pete’s sake, they get to play the Mets, Marlins, and Phillies 19 times each.

Under: San Diego Padres: There’s a bit of talent on this squad, but they’re the fourth best team in a five team division. No way they flirt with .500. Even if Chase Headley manages to stay healthy, and they get a bounce back year from Josh Johnson, there just isn’t enough of anything on this roster. The bullpen especially has question marks the size of Mount Rushmore. They’ll be lucky to get to 70 wins, much less the 78.5 the line is set at. I could have made a similar argument here for the Rockies, but with two superstars in the lineup (Tulo & Cargo) and a better-than-you-think bullpen (Rex Brothers is a stud), you never know.

Shaun:

Over: Kansas City Royals: I really believe the Royals have a shot at the playoffs this year. I like the top of the rotation with Jaime Shields, they have a stud pitcher that should earn himself a spot in the rotation after getting a taste of the big leagues last season in Yordano Ventura, and Greg Holland is an excellent closer. They also play fantastic defense, and have finally filled the black hole that has been second base in Kansas City with the addition of Omar Infante. I see the Royals flirting with 90 wins, not just teetering around .500.

Under: Philadelphia Phillies: The Phillies are old, signing older players, and they guys who used to be young and talented are just aging and declining. They do have a couple young guys that are impressive, but that likely won’t be enough. It is hard to say it is a lock for a team to win less than 77 games, especially a team with such a proud history as the Phillies, but I just don’t see it. Their starters aren’t that good anymore, and with all the money locked up in the aging veterans, they lack depth. I honestly see them as one of the five worst teams in baseball.